#prediction markets

ROME — 06:15 CET. The feed opened with a liquidation cascade in my peripheral...

Fractures in the ledger reveal what hype obscures. The Kalshi insider trading...

The ruling dropped at 2:17 PM Eastern. Case 0:24-cv-02508. Judge Katherine...

Hook On December 12, 2026, Fanatics—a company synonymous with licensed sports...

The alert came not from the Pentagon, not from Reuters, but from a smart...

Hook A headline flashes across my terminal: "Spain Wins 2026 World Cup, Crypt...

Hook October 23. 03:00 UTC. Polymarket contract US Crypto Clarity Act 2023...

Hook On October 27, 2026, the Polymarket contract for the Clarity Act's passa...

Hook A single Polymarket contract prices the probability of a 2026 US-Iran...

Over the past 7 days, Kalshi and Polymarket have seen their implied volatilit...

The first salvo was not fired from a warship, but from a smart contract. When...

The numbers sit there, stripped of context. A 12.6% slide in total crypto...

Breaking: 2025-05-14 14:32 UTC — The Polymarket contract for "Iran closes...

Over the past 48 hours, a single piece of news has quietly rewritten the risk...

In the code, I found the ghost of the architect. Last week, a single headline...

The data tells a story the market often ignores. Over the past six months,...

A prediction market currently prices the probability of an Israel-Lebanon pea...

The prediction market says 45.5%. That is the probability of the Clarity Act...

A single number is haunting the desks of every geopolitical risk analyst in t...

A Polymarket contract shows 30.5% probability that Iran reconstruction funds...

The number hit my screen at 3:17 AM Sydney time: 8.5%. That is the probabilit...

62% Probability of Gulf Conflict? Don't Trust the Headline, Check the Order...

For decades, the signal of an impending military strike was a radio silence, ...

On January 15, 2026, Polymarket’s “Fed target rate in 2026” market flashed a...

Where digital pixels breathe with human soul. The Polymarket contract reads:...

I remember the afternoon clearly. It was early 2020, and I was sitting in a...

Polymarket shows "full airspace closure" probability at 30.5% after Iran's...

The data point hit my screen at 2:47 AM Shanghai time: 41.5% probability that...

Hook Polymarket contract "Will Alibaba AI beat Anthropic by Aug 2026?" settle...

Hook On January 29, 2026, a drone strike on a U.S. base in Jordan killed thre...

Prediction markets moved before the headlines did. Within hours of Iran...

We trace the hash to find the human error. Last week, a little-known predicti...

I spent the morning dissecting a piece of crypto news that reads like a...

The silence in the order book is a whisper. Over the past 48 hours, a single...

On the day Trump called for the 2038 World Cup to be granted exclusively to t...

The surge was algorithmic. Dispassionate. At 14:32 UTC, the Polymarket contra...

The prediction market says 44% — the probability that the United States will...

Over the past 48 hours, a prediction market running on Polygon flashed a...

A market worth $160 million got overturned. Not by a court, not by a regulato...

In a market where narratives often dictate price action, a quiet contradictio...

Over the past 72 hours, the Polymarket "US-Iran deal funding in 2026" contrac...

Hook On December 10, 2026, 1win — a centralized betting giant founded in 2016...

Hook: The Market Whispers What the Generals Dare Not Say On a quiet Tuesday...

Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction market, publicly endorsed a bill that wou...

Transaction 0x7a9... failed. Not due to error, but due to intent. The wallet...

Tracing the gas leak where logic bled into code: last week, on Hyperliquid’s...

Over the past seven days, on-chain betting volume for World Cup matches has...

The technology that was supposed to bring precision to football — Video...

The market doesn't care about your narrative. But when a man with 3 billion...

Hook Breaking: A New York federal judge just dropped a bomb on the prediction...